New research by ITV Wales suggests the Labour lead over the Conservatives there is increasing.

Topline voting intention figures, with changes from January, are Tory 29% Labour 32%, LibDems 12% and Plaid Cymru 14%. The Tories have dropped 3% since January.

On a uniform swing throughout the Principality, this would give the Conservatives 8 seats – 18 behind Labour. It’s a major disappointment for the Tories, as although Wales has traditionally been a Labour stronghold, the Opposition swing had been much better than that across the UK as a whole.