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John Ward June 13, 2013 BREAKING...Defra faces UK wheat crop disaster

OFFICIAL: BRITAIN FACES WHEAT PRODUCTION DISASTER, DEFRA BEHIND THE MUSIC

Owen Paterson issues press release saying ‘impact only now being seen’

patersblindPaterson…reaffirms dangers of sensorally challenged Ministers

Not that it matters overmuch, but some time back I posted a brief piece to the effect that the lousy weather must be having an effect on the European food chain…and I wondered why nobody in authority hahahaha, sorry about that, was discussing what we should do about it. As I’ve said before, I am no climate/weather expert, but I have this astonishing ability to feel cold, observe snow falling in May, notice rain and clouds – even read a thermometer. It’s a gift, and I just thank God for it, she’s a very clever girl.

In the Guardian this morning – for some reason under ‘environment’ – there is a piece saying, you’ll never guess, that Britain is now going to have to import tons of flour/wheat to make up the shortfall. The Guardianista’s dislike of any business producer group is so ingrained under Rusbridger the Mad March Trot, the headline couldn’t resist saying, ‘Farmers fail to feed UK after extreme weather hits wheat crop’. Silly Farmer Giles not having control over the weather and all, but I rather think fingers should be pointing elsewhere re this one.

For a start, I’m afraid they must point at Owen Paterson. This is a shame, because Defra wasn’t Patercake’s idea, and anyway he strikes me as a bloke with blind spots but the best of intentions (far more than you can say for the rest of the Cabinet). His real brief should be to take a view on longer term environmental evidence and data, not be the Kommissar for the Kollektives of Kamerlot Produktion. But thanks to some harebrained consultant or Sir Humphrey from the past looking to empire-build, the f in Defra does stand for food. So: frightfully sorry Owen old top, but you’re in the frame for this one.

My questions are threefold:

1. Once February had passed – and the forecast until at least April was utterly dire – did anyone at Defra think about trying to buy Wheat futures ahead at a better price than now? And a subsidiary here: did Defra alert the Treasury to the potential impact on deficit balancing strategy?

2. Over at the Treasury (where I hear black armbands are de rigueur since Hester got the chop) have the owners of four wrong economic forecasts in a row had the nous to do this anyway?

3. Do we think that this disaster in the making might start to persuade Camerlot to take the land laid to food issue more seriously, rather than spouting the usual bollocks about there being nothing they can do?

There’s a clue in the Guardian column – in the shape of an arse-covering release from Defra (my emphasis):

‘The full impact of the hard winter is only now being seen, according to the Department for the Environment, Food and Rural Affairs. Its latest analysis says the total income from farming decreased by £737m in 2012 to £4.7bn, with farmers facing both crop losses and higher costs to feed their animals.’

So I rather suspect the answers are ‘no’, ‘no’ and thrice ‘no’. But then, a bigotry based on experience is coming into play here, in that I have reached the conclusion – too slowly, I suspect – that almost everyone in a senior position throughout Whitehall and Westminster is a fornicating onanist.

I hope, if time allows in the 36 hours remaining, to make the West-to-White deficiences the subject of the Saturday Essay this week. In the meantime, what does anyone know about this issue? Usual rules apply please: I’d like answers from folks who know something, not everything….to jawslog@gmail.com.

I have a German friend who says to me “The British are surprised by every eventuality”. Sadly, he’s right.

Related: Mr Paterson and his run-in with Mr Badger

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Posted in BREAKING...Defra faces UK wheat crop disaster and tagged Has Draper Osborne taken this into account?, Owen Paterson, UK wheat crop down 30% surprise surprise. Bookmark the permalink.

70Comments

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  1. 1
    ralfellis's avatar
    ralfellis on June 14, 2013 at 2:04 pm

    >>“I can tell you that there is no weather seeding going
    >>on whatsoever” This ranks right up there with President
    >>Nixon’s “I’m not a crook”, or Margret Thatcher bringing
    >>harmony where there is discord.

    Sorry, matey, I know because I know the UK’s aviation capability, and there ain’t no aircraft out there, nor anyone to crew or control them.

    Perhaps your wonderful conspiracy theory could tell us which ‘crop spraying’ aircraft are being used (model, payload, name of the conversion company), where they are based and operated from, and who crews them. And while you are at it, perhaps you could tell us which air-traffic controllers control them, the flight levels they are flown at, and attempt to explain why commercial pilots who fly every day have never seen them.

    You idea is so stupid, it is hardly worth the effort of even calling it stupid. But I will, nevertheless – it is a crock of sh!t.

    .

    LikeLike

  2. 2
    aflatoxin's avatar
    aflatoxin on June 13, 2013 at 10:18 pm

    “Wheat is toxic to humans”. That of course is why we are all dead.
    Certain people (coeliacs) cannot tolerate it, others are cautioned by naturopaths etc to avoid it because it’s ‘bad’ for them. It’s supposedly the cause of heart disease, diabetes, arthritis, etc. all by itself.

    Modern (not GMO) wheat, which gives much higher yields than wheat of 50 years ago, contains gliadin (as does rye and barley according to wiki)
    with opiate-like effects. Agree that presumably this is why a lot of us are hooked on wheat in one form or another and obesity is a problem today.

    British and European wheat is selenium poor, unlike Canadian wheat. Selenium forms antioxidant molecules in the body that help protect against heart disease and cancer. So if we are going to eat wheat, we should eat selenium-rich forms. No point in growing it in the UK- we should use the land for other, more healthy foods.

    Spelt is one answer. An ancient form of wheat. Bread made purely of spelt i.e unmixed with modern wheat is not easy to find, but spelt flour is fairly widely available. And porridge (oats) is great for most people.

    However, there seems little chance of farmers being persuaded to grow more ancient or pre-war healthier wheats as they are slower to grow I believe and certainly give lower yields per hectare.

    LikeLike

  3. 3
    Don's avatar
    Don on June 13, 2013 at 8:27 pm

    Ralfellis, You are either woefully ill informed or totally full of shit.

    “I can tell you that there is no weather seeding going on whatsoever” This ranks right up there with President Nixon’s “I’m not a crook”, or Margret Thatcher bringing harmony where there is discord.

    Perhaps for an encore you’d like to tell us how you also visit your local bank every week and can categorically state that there is no manipulation in the price of gold?

    P.S. Wanna buy a bridge?

    LikeLike

  4. 4
    corneliustownedge's avatar
    Cornelius Townedge on June 13, 2013 at 8:14 pm

    Bread & Circuses. We’re too easily sated!

    Just off to do a line of Allinsons!

    LikeLike

  5. 5
    Matt's avatar
    Matt on June 13, 2013 at 7:26 pm

    Damn good point there.

    I see no wheat shortage in the charts…

    http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ZW

    LikeLike

  6. 6
    Matt's avatar
    Matt on June 13, 2013 at 7:24 pm

    They are not talking about sourdough, KFC.

    What highfy is saying is correct. Even if you have pure wheat sourdough, the natural yeasts and bacteria in the starter and the longer proving time ensure that a large proportion of the gluten and other nasty bits are pre-digested.

    A lot of nutrition freaks such as raw-food vegans etc. are actually adding it back to their diets these days.

    However, it’s still carbs so too much at once will still raise your insulin & blood pressure, making you fat, promoting diabetes, heart disease etc etc.

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  7. 7
    Matt's avatar
    Matt on June 13, 2013 at 7:18 pm

    Wheat is toxic to humans to start with – gluten attacks and perforates the gut.

    We very possibly only like it so much because our bodies metabolise it to opiates.

    LikeLike

  8. 8
    chris loughrey esq's avatar
    chris loughrey esq on June 13, 2013 at 5:48 pm

    I remember reading that India and China were taking a very particular interest in thorium power. That was a couple of years ago now so I wonder how much of a march have they stolen on everyone else already?

    LikeLike

  9. 9
    Rowan's avatar
    Rowan on June 13, 2013 at 5:23 pm

    IanW – your source Anthony Watts is not a climate scientist, is famous for misrepresenting and cherry-picking data, ignores any facts that he doesn’t like and is thoroughly and comprehensively debunked on many, many climate science sites. My favourite is http://wottsupwiththat.com/

    LikeLike

  10. 10
    Gordie's avatar
    Gordie on June 13, 2013 at 4:52 pm

    I prefer to wok the dog

    LikeLike

  11. 11
    Ron Hill's avatar
    Ron Hill on June 13, 2013 at 4:45 pm

    Has anyone taken the trouble to go into the countryside and see for themselves if we have any crops in the fields? I visited a few farmer friends earlier this week, the first thing that opened my eyes were the crops of all types of cereal, stretching across the Lincolnshire as far as the eyes could see, The farmers said that the crops are about 2 weeks behind due to the cold weather but expect a good return per acre, I also saw the apple and other fruit trees bursting with flowering fruit, good harvest this year I was told. So don’t believe all the bulls…t the government lap boys tell you, its all about who can make the most money by conning the consumer into thinking we have a shortage, and that goes for most commodities. Even as I type this inside our apartment I can smell the rape seed drifting in from the fields, no, no shortage there either

    LikeLike

  12. 12
    Edward Spalton's avatar
    Edward Spalton on June 13, 2013 at 4:40 pm

    Tom,
    In the immortal words of AP Herbert,
    “The Farmer will never be happy again.
    He carries his heart in his boots.
    For either the rain Is destroying his grain
    Or the drought is destroying his roots.”

    LikeLike

  13. 13
    Unknown's avatar
    UK WHEAT SCREW-UP: Update | The Slog. 3-D bollocks deconstruction on June 13, 2013 at 4:06 pm

    […] ← OFFICIAL: BRITAIN FACES WHEAT PRODUCTION DISASTER, DEFRA BEHIND THE MUSIC June 13, 2013 · 4:05 pm ↓ Jump to Comments […]

    LikeLike

  14. 14
    Richard's avatar
    Richard on June 13, 2013 at 3:39 pm

    Hi John – You have probably seen this chap before, but in relation to your story and all to do with the ever increasing cold weather to come in the next 30 years plus – Probably a Little Ice Age! – I kid you not.

    Please check out Piers Corbyn – He runs a company called Weatheraction

    Very interesting fellow………….

    LikeLike

  15. 15
    John Ward's avatar
    John Ward on June 13, 2013 at 3:32 pm

    RT
    Quite so. Reliable sources also suggest that alcohol is a major contributory factor to liver explosion, not breathing causes death, chips have a higher calorific content than cucumber, and granny is one helluvan egg sucker already. : -)

    LikeLike

  16. 16
    David Bennett's avatar
    David Bennett on June 13, 2013 at 3:16 pm

    good stuff, Buddy
    Let´s fight

    LikeLike

  17. 17
    cronshd's avatar
    cronshd on June 13, 2013 at 2:59 pm

    Hmmm…I used the Dad’s Army video before on JW’s blog. Perhaps he should have it on his front page!

    LikeLike

  18. 18
    cronshd's avatar
    cronshd on June 13, 2013 at 2:57 pm

    “Nothing at all wrong with wholemeal bread- an excellent staple IMO”. Well, if you make it yourself that may be the case for you!

    LikeLike

  19. 19
    corneliustownedge's avatar
    Cornelius Townedge on June 13, 2013 at 2:54 pm

    Usually from a spot comfortably behind the lines.

    Melchett – ‘ ..we’ll be right behind you’

    Captain Blackadder – ‘ A few hundred miles behind you’

    LikeLike

  20. 20
    corneliustownedge's avatar
    Cornelius Townedge on June 13, 2013 at 2:51 pm

    The seasonal changes are nothing new. Any politician who wasn’t in the pockets of Monsanto, or with an oZ of sense can forsee it.

    Spring has been getting later, and summer ( such as it is!) extended for a number of years. I planned my garden accordingly.

    Too much too ask for the halfwit dullards running the show!

    LikeLike

  21. 21
    the ghost's avatar
    the ghost on June 13, 2013 at 2:50 pm

    Many elites did fight in both wars hear a large number fought in France around latrine i believe

    LikeLike

  22. 22
    Milkman's avatar
    Milkman on June 13, 2013 at 2:48 pm

    UK wheat crop worse than last year and that was bad, fortunately all looks well in the old eastern bloc and other parts. Wheat price has fallen 30 quid or so in not many weeks. I suspect Patterson is bleating at the behest of the NFU bigwigs who are unsurpisingly unhappy about the prospect of low yields and low price.

    LikeLike

  23. 23
    oyiabrown's avatar
    OyiaBrown on June 13, 2013 at 2:33 pm

    Reblogged this on Oyia Brown.

    LikeLike

  24. 24
    kfc1404's avatar
    kfc1404 on June 13, 2013 at 2:33 pm

    Not all have the same opinion….
    http://authoritynutrition.com/why-is-bread-bad-for-you/

    LikeLike

  25. 25
    DomesticExtremist's avatar
    DomesticExtremist on June 13, 2013 at 2:30 pm

    That’s the downside of a very narrow, prairie farmed monoculture.

    Back in the day when we had local, landrace strains crop failures in one area were less catastrophic.

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  26. 26
    DomesticExtremist's avatar
    DomesticExtremist on June 13, 2013 at 2:29 pm

    …and Owen Pattycake is busy lobbying to get the GMO ban relaxed.
    Somehow, GMO is able to save us from a chilly spring (as well as droughts, floods and global warming).
    No mention of how to deal with, or who pays for, the cleanup once we have a new breed of superweeds and superbugs to contend with though.

    LikeLike

  27. 27
    derek99p's avatar
    derek99p on June 13, 2013 at 2:19 pm

    I also recall the predictions for the coming ice age.

    How inconvenient that people can remember things.

    LikeLike

  28. 28
    Ian W's avatar
    Ian W on June 13, 2013 at 2:12 pm

    You will find a good deal more correct detail here http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/06/11/sorry-a-time-magazine-cover-did-not-predict-a-coming-ice-age-it-was-just-a-time-article/
    The argument was that the Earth was cooling due to Global Dimming due to aerosols most made up of soot (smogs) and the solution was to tax fossil fuels to save the world from a new ice age.

    LikeLike

  29. 29
    Tom's avatar
    Tom on June 13, 2013 at 2:07 pm

    To be honest, when have farmers ever been happy with the weather? It is on the chilly side for the year but nothing unusual and different crops require different conditions anyway.

    LikeLike

  30. 30
    corneliustownedge's avatar
    Cornelius Townedge on June 13, 2013 at 2:06 pm

    Yep, entirely possible. Revisited with cynical and questioning eyes, WW2 isn’t quite the tale of glory and freedom fighting we were spun as kids.

    Read about Lord Carrington stalling his forces at Nijmegen recently, there is talk that he was told to hold back to prevent the allies getting to Berlin in ’44, thus giving the Fascists the chance to ship their ill gotten gains to S.America etc.

    We’re fighting the established order now, and it has always been the case.

    LikeLike

  31. 31
    David Bennett's avatar
    David Bennett on June 13, 2013 at 2:03 pm

    Korea, Japan and China have turned boats around wanting to dump Monsanto seeds. The French have burned the fields harvesting Monsanto grapes. The Hungarians have burned fields sponsored by Monsanto but the European Union is pursuing a policy that has the mark of Obama on it and a tacit agreement that whatever feels good up your arse will be good for me too.
    We should oppose governments that appear concerned about our dietary needs

    LikeLike

  32. 32
    ralfellis's avatar
    ralfellis on June 13, 2013 at 2:00 pm

    >>It may have escaped your notice but globalisation improves
    >>food security, not reduces it, for cases exactly like we have
    >>seen here in the UK over the last 18 months.

    Rubbish.

    Did empireisation (i.e.: the Brit Empire) give us food security during WWII?? I think not – all it brought was shortages and a huge loss of ships and life to try and get the food to the UK.**

    And we do not need a world war to loose all agricultural imports. If the weather destroys half the US grain crop, do you think they will sell the remainder to us? Think again.

    And this is already happening. Did you know that 40% of the US grain crop is now going into making bio-fuels? And the Greens wonder why grain prices are increasing and Third World nations are starving!! Well, that is the fantasy idealism and the fantasy economics of the Greens for you. The Greens would rather we all starve to death, than admit that all their policies were derived from Alice’s Wonderland.

    .
    .

    ** Believe it or not, some 2,500 Merchant Navy vessels were sunk in WWII. Not sure where we got them all from:
    http://www.worldnavalships.com/merchant_navy_losses.htm

    LikeLike

  33. 33
    corneliustownedge's avatar
    Cornelius Townedge on June 13, 2013 at 1:56 pm

    Both my great-grandparents fought in the first world war. One came back. My grandmother was in the WRENS, and my Grandad was a merchant-seaman in the second world war.

    Liberty and freedom my arse, they thought thats what they were fighting for, really they were fighting for the interests of ‘elites’.

    Don’t try personalising an argument in lieu of the facts, never gets you anywhere.

    LikeLike

  34. 34
    ralfellis's avatar
    ralfellis on June 13, 2013 at 1:43 pm

    >>So nuclear powered tractors will fuel our agriculture will
    >>they, nuclear fertilisers will make the crops grow?

    Typical alarmist comments.

    Agriculture and aviation are two of the very few areas of industry that cannot easily use nuclear power. But if we save 90% of the fossil fuels currently being used in other areas of home and industry, by switching to nuclear, there will be some fossil fuel left over for aviation and agriculture.

    But if we had an abundance of nuclear electricity, as France does, we could fabricate hydro-carbon fuels from scratch. It is not overly efficient, but we could do it. And probably better than relying on Russia, N Africa or the Mid East for ever-dwindling oil supplies.

    And as an aside, the fly-ash from coal power stations has caused more radiation than nuclear power ever has.

    And if you take a look at Thorium power, you will find that all the fission products from thorium are very short lived – none of the 20,000 year products of uranium/plutonium power. And you cannot have a thermic runaway with thorium – so no Chernobyls. Oh, and thorium cannot be used for nuclear weapons, so no Greenie fear-mongering.

    .

    LikeLike

  35. 35
    romee's avatar
    romee on June 13, 2013 at 1:42 pm

    Maybe Monsanto will sell you all the carcinogenic GMO wheat that no other country wants!!!!

    LikeLike

  36. 36
    Geo's avatar
    Geo on June 13, 2013 at 1:41 pm

    I remember as a child here in the US the deluge of reports on how butter was to be avoided for the sake of one’s health; margarine was promoted as a much healthier substitute, by medical authorities (ha!) and industry, no doubt. People, educated people in fact, fell for it hook line and sinker. But for the last ten years or more the same ‘experts’ have told us that such fats as margarine are as bad as can possibly be for one’s cardiac health.

    LikeLike

  37. 37
    Jim's avatar
    Jim on June 13, 2013 at 1:39 pm

    Bit of a problem for the economic strategy you outlined a while ago though isn’t it, the wheat crop shortfall? If we are all supposed to be self reliant, feed ourselves on what we can grow ourselves, what happens when the crop fails? Suddenly import loads of grain, via grain terminals that don’t exist because 19 years out of 20 we aren’t allowed to have any imports because we have to prioritise home grown grain over imports? It may have escaped your notice but globalisation improves food security, not reduces it, for cases exactly like we have seen here in the UK over the last 18 months. When the crop in one part of the world fails, globalisation allows that country to still be fed, via food shipped from all over the world. If everyone is aiming for self reliance and the global trade withers it can’t suddenly be ramped up at a moments notice. Bulk tankers don’t materialise out of nothing, neither do the ports and general global trading infrastructure.

    Your idea of economic self reliance condemns a country that has a failed or reduced harvest to go hungry.

    LikeLike

  38. 38
    ralfellis's avatar
    ralfellis on June 13, 2013 at 1:33 pm

    >>What I find remarkable is that no politician ever mentions
    >>the link between adverse and unusual weather patterns
    >>and the deliberate seeding of our skies with a
    >>strontioum/barium/aluminium mix on a daily basis.

    Utter crappo. The sort of bonkers conspiracy theory that the Near Eastern Mossies like to indulge in on a daily basis. I suppose, like them, you believe that all shark attacks in the Red Sea are via Mossad-opperated radio-controlled sharks … duh!

    I fly nearly every day, and I can tell you that there is no weather seeding going on whatsoever. And if you think the RAF are doing something, think again – they don’t have the capability of putting a squadron in the air to protect us, let alone changing the weather. The RAF get into a complete panic when Buk-Pal asks for a fly-by, because they don’t have anything that can fly. They need a special fuel allocation to get airborne.

    Same goes for the Navy. The last fleet review was in 2005 (previous ones being cancelled), and to get enough ships they had to invite 30 nations to participate. This was one of the primary front-line ships in the 2005 Royal Fleet Review:

    (The Grand Turk)

    Are you getting worried yet?

    .

    LikeLike

  39. 39
    PhilE's avatar
    PhilE on June 13, 2013 at 1:31 pm

    So nuclear powered tractors will fuel our agriculture will they, nuclear fertilisers will make the crops grow? They would certainly increase the crop plant mutation rate which could obviate the need for gmo and do Monsanto out of some profits.

    As oil has got more expensive our industrial economy cannot grow. Sooner or later our food will not grow either, as cheap oil is a prerequisite to feed 7 billion globally let alone 70 million in the UK. We need to be trialling less energy intensive methods to grow our food as locally as possible.

    These changes will only happen when individuals and communities come to realise that in the future they will need to take care of themselves. The government is not up to the job. They could help by getting rid of the petty regulations that prevent people resettling our countryside and growing food.

    LikeLike

  40. 40
    ralfellis's avatar
    ralfellis on June 13, 2013 at 1:17 pm

    .
    At the end of my renewable article, I nominate nuclear energy as being our only reliable alternative. As an update to that, what we should be pressing for is Thorium power.

    Unfortunately, our government is comprised of lawyers, economists and ex-lobbyists, and the chances of getting them to understand the benefits of Thorium are next to none.

    We are doomed, I tell you, entombed and doomed…

    (With apologies to Pte Frazer.)
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w7RIgs3eygo

    .

    LikeLike

  41. 41
    Jane Crow's avatar
    Jane Crow on June 13, 2013 at 1:08 pm

    Sorry I know this is slightly off-topic, but I’ll bet Cornelius is right. Sainsburys, the Co-operative and Marks & Spencer recently dropped their guarantee of GMO-free fed products (other than organic range). Reason: difficulty in sourcing GMO free feed: despite the fact we officially don’t produce it here.

    This is important. Whatever the weather, wheat can and should be produced here, even if (call me naive) its in industrial-sized polytunnels, both to support British Farmers and to keep our food chain relatively GMO free.

    Last year I got really ill from auto-immune and allergic reactions. Turns out I developed a bad reaction to the gluten in wheat and barley. I’m not alone in this as these reactions are becoming endemic in the form of coeliac and gluten intolerance and related auto-immune disorders. Many believe it is because of changes in the way wheat is being produced.

    Incidentally a report on RT.com this morning covered an experiment in the States feeding pigs in identical conditions. Half on GMO corn/soya, half on non-GMO. The slaughtered GMO fed pigs had huge levels of stomach inflammation; inflammation being the pre-cursor of a number of diseases including – you guessed it: Coeliac, auto-immunity, cancer and heart disease.

    Owen Paterson has just been revealed to be a climate-change denier to btw, despite all the evidence to the contrary. Dangerous man to have at the helm!

    LikeLike

  42. 42
    Mark's avatar
    Mark on June 13, 2013 at 1:08 pm

    A horrible cynical voice in my head would ask if that was landing on the beaches of Normandy or running away abandoning all tanks and heavy equipment at Dunkirk. I suppose a lot of people (including many expatriate Poles) thought they were spilling their blood to free Poland from its invasion tyranny. Sadly it didn’t quite work out that way and in the end.

    LikeLike

  43. 43
    Don's avatar
    Don on June 13, 2013 at 12:58 pm

    What I find remarkable is that no politician ever mentions the link between adverse and unusual weather patterns and the deliberate seeding of our skies with a strontioum/barium/aluminium mix on a daily basis. This is done in order to facilitate the so called ‘weather weapons’.

    Dabbling with weather modification techniques which require the manipulation of Earths ionisphere may well result in unintended side effects.

    LikeLike

  44. 44
    highfy's avatar
    highfy on June 13, 2013 at 12:58 pm

    Bread is NOT bad for you. Bread baked using white flour and the Chorleywood Process may be/is bad for you.

    http://www.dovesfarm.co.uk/about/the-history-of-bread/the-history-of-bread-the-chorleywood-bread-process.

    Before food ‘scientists’ got their grubby ill-educated paws on it and before brewers’ yeast was commercialised, bread was made using sourdough: which unfortunately for profit seeking bakers is not only slow but unpredictably slow. It can take from between four to eight hours for sourdough bread to rise especially if Rye flour alone is used.

    However, Rye bread is easily digested (AND can be part of a weight loss diet), without enzymes and other, usually unlisted ingredients, It looks, feels, and smells like bread and lasts five days without going stale.Just takes a lot longer to prepare.

    White bread baked using sourdough may not last the full five days but it tastes incomparably better and is a LOT healthier.

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  45. 45
    roguetrader's avatar
    roguetrader on June 13, 2013 at 12:58 pm

    I think you’ll find that food is a major cause of obesity. Nothing at all wrong with wholemeal bread- an excellent staple IMO. Unless you’re coeliac of course, but derrrr.

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  46. 46
    roguetrader's avatar
    roguetrader on June 13, 2013 at 12:55 pm

    Explain please.

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  47. 47
    John Dunn's avatar
    John Dunn on June 13, 2013 at 12:53 pm

    Maybe we need to reverse the recent trend to create bio-ethanol from sugar-beet and wheat crops? After all, we need food, more than we need to keep all those ‘Chelsea tractors’ on the road.
    And indeed, why do we bother with all that expensive to produce, bio-fuel, made from food crops, given that we have established that Peak Oil is an urban myth, and the world is apparently, awash with cheap, easy to access crude oil? It just makes no sense to me, why we burn food as fuel in our cars.

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  48. 48
    ralfellis's avatar
    ralfellis on June 13, 2013 at 12:51 pm

    .
    And as to renewable energy helping us out of this artificial climate scam, please think again. This was my assessment of renewable energy and its dire effects on our economy – written back in 2004.

    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/05/25/renewable-energy-–-our-downfall

    I was well ahead of the game on this Green-Liberal scam….

    .

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  49. 49
    cronshd's avatar
    cronshd on June 13, 2013 at 12:48 pm

    Breadmageddon: another JW classic :-)

    Bread is highly overrated, and a major cause of obesity, so bring on the shortages and higher prices!

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  50. 50
    Jeff Wood's avatar
    Jeff Wood on June 13, 2013 at 12:43 pm

    Quite, Paul. I distinctly remember as a young 1970s father worrying about the frozen world my son would grow up in, according to the “scientists” – actually activists – being freely quoted in the newspapers and on Radio 4.

    That experience helped me research the pscience (sic) of anthropogenic global warming, many years later, with an open mind. You can guess the outcome in my thinking.

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  51. 51
    Maria das Santos's avatar
    Maria das Santos on June 13, 2013 at 12:38 pm

    According to Greg Hunter at USAwatchdog.com,the wheat and grain farms are about a month behind due to drought or flooding.

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  52. 52
    ralfellis's avatar
    ralfellis on June 13, 2013 at 12:34 pm

    .
    Ha – don’t get me onto the climate scam – puurlease. Ok, for those not up to speed on what is really going on, there are two primary cycles in our climate.

    The first is the Pacific Decadal Oscilation (PDO), a change in the circulation of the atmosphere over the Pacific. This is a 65-year cycle, and gave us:

    Cold 1910s
    Warm 1940s **
    Cold 1970s ***
    Warm 2000s
    Cold 2030s

    The second cycle is the sunspot cycle, which has several confused harmonics of 95 and 250 odd years. These conspired to give us the Medieval Warming and the 16-1700s Little Ice Age and the late 1900s Warming Period.

    The problem we face now is that:

    a. The PDO has gone into its 30-year cold mode.
    b. The Sun has gone on strike, and we appear to be entering a Grand Minima, just like we experienced during the Little Ice Age.

    Thus both climate cycles are just going into cold mode, and so the prognosis is that the northern jetstreams will move south by some 500 miles or so. For the UK and N Europe this will deliver very cold and dry winters and cool and wet summers.

    CO2 has bugger all to do with climate. As a greenhouse gas, CO2 saturates above 500ppm, so the effect of its warming reduced logarithmically with concentration. Any further increase in CO2 is immaterial.

    And the CO2 concentration rise is not all manmade. As the seas warmed during the 90s warming, the sea outgases CO2. Historically, during the ice ages, the rise in CO2 concentration was always preceded by a temperature rise.

    Global temperature (ie: sea temperature) controls CO2, and not viki verki.

    BTW – the greatest greenhouse gas, giving some 95% of the greenhouse effect on Earth, is good old water vapor. Did you ever hear of the Met Office and MPs clamouring to ban water?? Hmm.

    Far from a ‘pollutant’, CO2 is the basis of all life on Earth – without CO2 we all die. As it happens, we had been approaching the lower level of CO2 that causes mass extinctions. Without our current rise in CO2 the world was almost doomed, with all agriculture failing, and so we should be celebrating the CO2 rise and not declaring it a pollutant and increasing taxes to get rid of it.

    .

    The bottom line here, is that Global Warming was and is a scam – it is not happening in the way they mention (and continue to mention).

    FACT – THERE HAS BEEN NO GLOBAL WARMING FOR THE LAST 17 YEARS.

    Graph of world temperatures for the major climate agencies (Giss, Hadcrut etc:). Temperature has been flat for 17 years. The blue wiggly line is the increase in CO2, which bares no relationship whatsoever to climate temperature:

    You would have thought the warmists, including the propaganda unit at the Biased Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) would have cheered this fact from the rooftops. “Global Warming defeated, hooorraayy…”.

    But no, that is not what they want – the BBC and the other Green scammers wanted a world problem so they could introduce a world government to control these world problems. But since the world is NOT warming they changed the scare story to Climate Change. But that was not scary enough, so it became Climate Disruption. Still not scary enough, so now it is Climate Crisis or Destructive Weather.

    Face facts – this was always a Green/Liberal/One-Worlder scam to create world problems to force a world government upon us.

    .

    .

    ** New York Times: SCIENCE IN REVIEW.
    Warmer Climate on the Earth May Be Due To More Carbon Dioxide in the Air.
    October 28, 1956, Sunday, by WALDEMAR KAEMPFFERT
    http://select.nytimes.com/gst/abstract.html?res=F70A13FD385A137A93CAAB178BD95F428585F9

    *** Remember the 1970s scare about a new Ice Age??

    .

    LikeLike

  53. 53
    davenpuerto (@davenpuerto)'s avatar
    davenpuerto (@davenpuerto) on June 13, 2013 at 12:32 pm

    “Many ordinary farmers and bread eaters can see the sense of aiming for more self sufficiency in uk food production but the politicians and elites won’t see it until their are starving folk on the streets.”

    Possibly because there would no votes in it until food was really short.

    I cannot for the life of me understand why UK plc does not invest in more food production, if only to employ more people and be a little less dependent on imports. We grow a lot of our own food here because it is economic to do so, and we tend to eat what is currently available. If we were to become vegetarian we could grow all our own food – a truly frightening thought.

    LikeLike

  54. 54
    me's avatar
    me on June 13, 2013 at 12:25 pm

    Will only get worse as global cooling takes hold.

    LikeLike

  55. 55
    zeusgoose's avatar
    zeusgoose on June 13, 2013 at 12:17 pm

    Somewhat surprised that Darwin didn`t get a plug here….something along the lines of an overpopulated island/ bit of dodgy weather = food shortages = time for a little bit of diversity for which the UK has become justly famous.

    DEFRA could publish some decent `how to roast the family dog` recipes / `more than one way to skin a cat` tips. The possibilities are endless.

    Soylent Green futures sound like a good investment?

    LikeLike

  56. 56
    Peterloo's avatar
    Peterloo on June 13, 2013 at 12:10 pm

    A little disrepectful of those who, like my grandfather, spilled their blood on the beaches of France and at all the other times they believed they were fighting for your liberty and freedom CT.

    LikeLike

  57. 57
    Le Gin's avatar
    Le Gin on June 13, 2013 at 12:04 pm

    Just to add that I think the wheat price rises of 1973 were about the same time as the Saudis took over their oil production. Something to do with Bushels of wheat and Barrels of Oil price comparisons….
    Could be wrong!

    LikeLike

  58. 58
    Unknown's avatar
    John Ward – Official : Britain Faces Wheat Production Disaster, DEFRA Behind The Music – 13 June 2013 | Lucas 2012 Infos on June 13, 2013 at 12:03 pm

    […] http://www.hat4uk.wordpress.com / link to original article […]

    LikeLike

  59. 59
    Chris Loughrey's avatar
    Chris Loughrey on June 13, 2013 at 12:02 pm

    Excellent. Bread is really really bad for you.

    LikeLike

  60. 60
    corneliustownedge's avatar
    Cornelius Townedge on June 13, 2013 at 11:53 am

    I seem to remember we kept our heads down and let the Russians do most of the legwork!

    LikeLike

  61. 61
    PhilE's avatar
    PhilE on June 13, 2013 at 11:51 am

    Don’t expect the government to worry about this as they hold it as an article of faith that the free market will provide. The NFU likewise are free traders and will be rubbing their hands at the prospect of shortages causing higher prices. Even higher by the time the speculating commodity traders take their cut.

    It doesn’t seem to occur to them this is the food we eat. Several months ago Hovis withdrew their British wheat based wholemealbread because they couldn’t get supplies of the right quality and price. I haven’t found another big brand that compares to it in quality.

    My reaction is to buy less and persevere with growing my own. I can report that my 30 square meters of Magister planted last September on my allotment is looking like providing a bumper crop, provided here in cloudy Lincolnshire we get enough sunshine to ripen it properly.

    Many ordinary farmers and bread eaters can see the sense of aiming for more self sufficiency in uk food production but the politicians and elites won’t see it until their are starving folk on the streets. You can bet your bottom dollar that when this happens these unfortunates will be castigated for having spent their benefits on booze and fags.

    LikeLike

  62. 62
    corneliustownedge's avatar
    Cornelius Townedge on June 13, 2013 at 11:51 am

    Ther’s a GMO angle in there somewhere. At best this will give the politicians a chance to push the GMO dream on the basis of weather-resistant toxic wheat or some such lunacy. At worst they’ll buy GMO wheat from the yanks.

    Sod it, we eat too much bread anyway!

    LikeLike

  63. 63
    Paul's avatar
    Paul on June 13, 2013 at 11:51 am

    Rowan I wouldn’t rely on Skeptical science to predict if the sun was due to rise tomorrow. How these morons can pin that name to their website is beyond me, unless of course gullible readers believe what they write because in reality they push the man-made global warming myth.

    LikeLike

  64. 64
    Andrew Duffin's avatar
    Andrew Duffin on June 13, 2013 at 11:50 am

    “did anyone at Defra think about trying to buy Wheat futures”
    Does our government actually do this? Are we still centrally planned and managed to such an extent?
    And there was me thinking the Soviet Union ended in 1993 or whenever it was…

    LikeLike

  65. 65
    Rowan's avatar
    Rowan on June 13, 2013 at 11:44 am

    @Edward Spalton – you make some very good & interesting points.

    The only thing you are incorrect on is your statement “In those days it was the ‘scientific consensus’ that factory emissions were causing a new ice age” see http://www.skepticalscience.com/ice-age-predictions-in-1970s.htm for the full de-bunking of this fallacy.

    LikeLike

  66. 66
    Edward Spalton's avatar
    Edward Spalton on June 13, 2013 at 11:36 am

    Having been out of the game for nearly ten years, I really don’t know what is happening in the grain trade. Prior to our absorption by the Common Agricultural Policy, Britain used to buy excellent quality, hard (i.e. high protein) bread making wheat mostly from Canada and the USA to go with the lower protein, soft wheats grown here. Massive EU tariffs, advances in plant breeding and in milling and bread making eventually made us more than self-sufficient within the new “fortress Europe” and produced the famous grain mountains which were dumped on the world market well below the cost of production, thus destroying much grain production in the Third World. (The Yanks were doing much the same with their surplus).
    That system of open-ended EU price guarantees (originally at prices to keep the European peasants from revolting and a real bonanza for Britain’s larger farmers) was being phased out as I was leaving the trade in favour of the “Single Farm payment” , loosely based on what the farm had produced in the past .

    When we had our own agricultural policy prior to January 1 1973, the Ministry of Agriculture Fisheries & Food used to maintain a stockpile of wheat, flour and some other key products against the possibility of shortages. Don’t forget – food rationing did not stop until 1954, so it was still at the back of people’s minds. The stocks were rotated in a sensible way and older product placed on the market without upsetting the trade, often getting used up quietly in animal feed. During the late Sixties/early Seventies we helped to use up a large government stock of New Zealand milk powder which had been secretly laid in against the possibility of pastures being contaminated by huge Soviet atomic tests in the Arctic. I really don’t know whether similar national precautions are in place today or whether they would be lawful under the EU’s rules which frown on countries which “distort the market”.

    We somehow survived a massive price rise in wheat back in 1973 – partly
    the result of joining the EEC and partly the result of the total failure of the Soviet Autumn-sown wheat crop of 1972 because of severe frosts. The Soviets managed a very clever buying raid on the Chicago market. From memory, prices certainly trebled from January to mid Summer. In those days it was the “scientific consensus” that factory emissions were causing a new ice age!

    Incidentally DEFRA is sometimes reckoned to stand for the Department for the Extermination of Farming and Rural Activity

    LikeLike

  67. 67
    Jeremy Stocks's avatar
    Jeremy Stocks on June 13, 2013 at 11:30 am

    Spot on comment about the Germans. They I am sure have contingencies in place for this year’s floods.

    Here in Bavaria, hidden in sheds right now is an entire army load of winter vehicles which are cleaned and out away every spring. When the snow hits in December out they come all prepared for action. There’s no “wrong kind of snow” excuse – they are fully organised for these eventualities.
    makes me wonder, how the hell did Britain win the Second World War against this organised efficiency?

    LikeLike

  68. 68
    Paul's avatar
    Paul on June 13, 2013 at 11:29 am

    You can’t blame Patterson, John. Presumably he relies on information from the met office who predicted average temperatures.
    See here:
    http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/06/02/woops-met-office-fail-again/

    LikeLike

  69. 69
    Kaypea's avatar
    Kaypea on June 13, 2013 at 11:27 am

    Isn’t this what the CAP was meant to protect us against.

    LikeLike

  70. 70
    Luther's avatar
    Luther on June 13, 2013 at 11:24 am

    The NFU surveyed “76 cereal growers covering 16,000 hectares”. Yet sugar beet, a minority crop, “is grown on 125,000 hectares”. Representative sample? Or getting the retaliation in first for the next round of price rises?

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