OPINION: In the short term, the best bet is to give the neocons all the rope they need to hang themselves

The Conservative lead over Labour having now stretched to 22 pts, I fell to wondering yesterday evening whether anyone, beyond a relative few us, is actually keeping the score on the level of contemporary global insanity.

The background. In theory, the Establishment Old Media neocon globalist assumptions are devoid of clothes. Let’s call a spade a spade, should we? 2008 was Crash1, but little if any of the thinking upon which it was predicated has changed. Bourses are madhouses, wealth doesn’t trickle down, a wealth restricted to 3% cannot kickstart a real recovery, the Fed Reserve is akin to Hitler’s bunker, the mass of people making 30% less than they did in the last century can’t consume on the level demanded by the Growth nuts, the secure human job market has been phased out, new robotics appear every week, still nobody knows what percentage of radioactive packaged investments are netted, at least nine eurozone and one British bank are utter basket cases, monetarist stimulation theory is a busted flush, and two huge Asian financial markets – Japan and China – remain upright solely by the use of giving free money to the casino (China) and the central bank buying up everything that stands still for longer than an hour (Japan).

We are on a journey, and there is only one place it can end: failed objectives, bank collapses, huge Bourse corrections, mass unemployment, and 40% of most Western populations financially wiped out….living alongside that 3% who have (it is estimated) enough capital in various forms to bale out the other 97% five times over. And that is not counting the electronic money swimming aimlessly around the shadow banking system.

Never in the recorded history of the world has that sort of ending evoked anything less than violence, repression, censorship, revolution, wars and then dictatorship. The only reasons the vast majority of humanity don’t see this coming are first, an ignorance of history; and second, the flaw in human wiring that prefers denialism up to and including the point where they’re sliding down the deck in the direction of the cold sea.

Is help at hand? No, it isn’t. Three truly, obscenely deranged ideologies are tooling up with bitterness, weapons and madcap schemes in order to prove that each is the one and only True Way.

These are Neocon economics, liberal-collectivist socio-economics, and radical Islam.

There are others, but such are reactions to (and symptoms of) the Three Stooges above. Feminism, ecology, pacifism, mutualism and nationalism represent – beyond the loopy extremes of sloppy analysis – efforts by various groups to show why there really are better ways to do stuff. But largely, they are about balance and scale. They all lack power (even though they are all growing as philosophies) and they are all relegated by the old media to the status of “nice to have but it’s not practical/there are bigger priorities/we can’t afford it”.

In a nutshell, the driver of events today is, overwhelmingly, the thought-axis of unelected, armed intolerance that aims for global victory.

All neocons, Leftlibs and Islamists are globalists – they just have different (albeit equally rigid) belief systems they insist must win because their Truth alone is the real one.

Is there a quick-fix way to head off disaster? Well yes – there is, in a way: one of them wins without blowing up the planet. But I rather suspect that even the most apathetic among we of the 97% would find that a pretty miserable epilogue.

Furthermore, only one of them could deliver that result….and that’s the neocons. Because only they have the money and the decisive military power on their side. But those with nothing have nothing to lose: nuclear, chemical or weather retaliations could very easily render any neocon victory pyrrhic.

A theoretical possibility is that passive, widespread citizen resistance before things get too bad would bring the whole termite-ridden edifice of élite fantasy down. In truth, States and global businesses could be swept away within months at most by national strikes in tax payment and consumption.

But three elements are missing from the formula required to create that outcome: education, enthusiasm and solidarity. And also, it is my opinion that – within the Muslim population as a whole – there is an additional fellow-travelling obedience factor that would militate against mass action.

So there’s no hope then, you miserable bugger? On the contrary, there is every reason to think that one remaining possibility for a sort of good is on the cards.

Put simply, that is systemic collapse among the Big 3. If things become uncontrollable before the outcome I mentioned in the Background section, then the lunatics will damage their own power sufficiently for enough balanced people to grab the reins off the coach drivers.

The British Empire dissipated because the cost of defending it became unaffordable after the Second World War. The same was very true of the USSR. I remain fairly certain that the same fate awaits the EU. And China is (with the growth of its envied 10% of privileged folks and incipient corruption) far less stable than most people assume. The US has a debt so astronomical that, if Wall Street failure was broad enough at some point, chaos among a heavily armed population could quickly ensue.

As for Islam, the development of post-oil energy is already well under way, and Africa is a mess beyond most Westerners’ imaginings. A retreat by the Great Satan away from military prosecution of energy would leave several Arab and black African Islamist sects fighting among themselves with little or no monetary support from any larger powers – including the Saudis.

And finally, Leftliberal groupthink is in a steep and desperate decline everywhere. There are Democrat, Labour Party and ClubMed socialist movements still, but the rigidity is restricted to activists. In America, Britain and France, they all face splits and collapse. One has to ask the question anyway, if the neocons self-destruct, is there really the need for (or demand for) a radical Left? I would argue that no, there isn’t: but Man’s content majority will always be peppered with the greedy and the ill-equipped. Social man is always going to need the effective regulation of such minorities. But that requires an Opposition with the entire community in mind – not a bunch of spitting activists with personality issues.

As many of you know by now, I think one solution is to scale down responsibility to community level, and allow the development of entrepreneurial mutualist capitalism in that environment. And there will be other co-existing ideas. But the age of nations and superstates is drawing to an end. No matter how many times you hear otherwise, the future is not globalist: down that path lies Armageddon. We most emphatically are not a one-size-fits-all species.

My attitude – hardening more and more in recent months – will, I know, dismay some people. But it is, simply, whatever lunacy they want to try next, bring it on. The dafter things get, the sooner they and their creators will be gone for good.


Yesterday at The Slog: Manny & Brigitte Mekon on Tour